James Salinas - Game Notes NFL Week 15

James Salinas - NFL Week 15 (1-1) Overall: 23-18-2 (56% ATS)

Photo Courtesy: Pro Football Focus

Game: Atalanta @ San Francisco (-10.5)

Selection: Atlanta (+10.5)

Score: ATL 29 - SF 22

Result: W

Notes: San Francisco's thrilling victory at New Orleans last week put the 49ers in control of the NFC's #1 playoff seed. However that win came at a high cost in personnel as SF lost C Richburg and DT Jones for the season and suffered injuries to five other defensive starters that will miss today's game vs Atlanta. Ultimately the 49ers playoff seeding destiny will be determined in their week #17 showdown at Seattle. Meanwhile, having just completed the 3-game scheduling gauntlet vs powerhouse division leaders GB, Baltimore, and New Orleans, it's likely the emotional commitment to provide a competitive effort will be limited for SF on Sunday. The Levi's Stadium scoreboard operator will have plenty of work today as both teams should trade scores throughout the game, so take the underdog Falcons and the inflated spread of +10.5.



Game: Indianapolis @ New Orleans (-9)

Selection: Indianapolis (+9)

Score: IND 7 - NO 34

Result: L

Notes: Matchups and motives fluctuate weekly in the NFL and a case study in identifying these handicapping angles will be tested as the Colts visit the Saints on MNF. The Saints will be without four key run stoppers in DL starters Davenport and Rankins, LB Alonso, and SS Bell. The Saints' defensive backups will have to engage with one of the league's best OL in Indy, so expect RB Mack and TE Doyle to reap the statistical benefits in this matchup and keep QB Brees and his offensive brethren on the sidelines. Matchups aside, finding a realistic motive for the Saints to play at max-intensity is difficult to find. The Saints have already clinched the NFC South title and lost their grip on the top playoff seed after last week's loss to SF, so the outcome of this game is insignificant as New Orleans will most likely be the #3 seed come January. The Saints are a heavy favorite on Monday and will look to survive any further injuries and advance to the playoffs healthy, so bet the Colts +9.

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