James Salinas Game Notes - NFL Week 14

James Salinas - NFL Week 13 (2-1) Overall: 22-17-2 (56% ATS)

Photo Credit: David J. Phillip - The Associated Press

Game: Denver Broncos @ Houston Texans (-9)

Selection: Denver Broncos (+9)

Score: DEN 38 - HOU 24

Result: W

Notes: As the NFL schedule grinds its way towards season's end the Denver Broncos couldn't have asked for a better scheduling setup to play the Houston Texans. Fresh off an emotional win against the Patriots last week on SNF and an enormous division game looming in Week 15 vs the Titans, the Texans are tasked this week with playing a last place Broncos team with nothing to lose. Not only is this game an absolute flat spot for Houston they also do not matchup well vs the Broncos. The Texans strength is its passing game led by dynamic QB Watson, however Denver has rebuilt its secondary into a competent 2019 version of the no fly zone. Houston will also be without vertical speedster WR Fuller condensing the field for Denver's safeties allowing for more run support near the line of scrimmage. In what should be an uneventful, low-scoring contest take Denver +9 as the bet.

Game: Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets (O/U 46)

Selection: Over 46

Score: MIA 21 - NYJ 22

Result: L

Notes: The NY Jets currently have the highest payroll sitting on the injured reserve list at over $61 million and will also be without the services of two starting CBs and defensive leader S Adams today too. On the other sideline is a Miami team that starts five rookies on defense including three in the secondary and has given up the second most td passes in the league (29). In a game with limited playmakers on either defense QBs Darnold and Fitzpatrick should have plenty of opportunities to sling the ball downfield for big scoring plays today so play OVER 46 total points scored.

Game: San Francisco 49'ers @ New Orleans Saints (-2)

Selection: San Francisco 49'ers (+2)

Score: SF 48 - NO 46

Result: W

Notes: NFL schedule makers didn't do the 49ers any favors by scheduling three consecutive high-intensity games vs Super Bowl contenders in GB, Baltimore and New Orleans, but this matchup vs the Saints is too good to not bet on. New Orleans' left side of the OL is banged up and should be ravaged today by a ferocious SF D-line. QB Brees also doesn't possess the arm strength he once had to stretch the field which will allow SF to play tighter to the line to box in RB Kamara as well. The Saints are also hurting on defense as starting LBs Klein and Alonso are out, so look for a big day out of the 49ers run game as they pound the rock and control the clock. For as great a season as the 49ers have had their 10-2 record currently puts them as the 5-seed and they would have to go on the road in the wild-card round if the playoffs started today, while the Saints have already clinched its division and sits atop the NFC standings. Expect the 49ers to play with more urgency today and put a hurting on the Saints in the Big Easy so play SF +2 as the bet.


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