James Salinas Game Notes - NFL Divisional Round

James Salinas - NFL Divisional Round (1-1) Overall: 30-20-2 (60% ATS)

Game: Tenessee @ Baltimore (-9.5)

Selection: Tennessee (+9.5)

Score: Tenessee 28 - Baltimore 12

Result: W

Notes: As the NFL playoffs progress the intensity of the games ascend to a championship level. For the past two weeks Tennessee has performed under a playoff urgency during a Week 17 win and advance scenario against the Texans, and utilized that momentum with a winning focus vs. the Patriots in the wild card round. Meanwhile the Ravens coasted into the playoffs as they clinched the AFC North during a Week 15 thrashing of the NYJ. Week 16 drew a winning yet uninspired Ravens' performance vs. the hapless Browns, clinching home field advantage allowing Baltimore to sit a majority of its starters during their season finale against the Steelers. Motivation is typically not a factor when handicapping the NFL playoffs, but determining if a team is physically ready to match the speed of a playoff game is and the Ravens key playmakers haven't taken a meaningful snap in 3 weeks. QB Jackson and the stellar Baltimore run game will need a few possessions to work through the rust while facing a run-blitz heavy Tennessee scheme. The Titans offense plays alpha style football and matching the heightened level of physicality Tennessee has recently competed at could take the Ravens defense a quarter or two to emulate as well. While Baltimore's defensive front is stout, its linebackers are not and neither is CB Peters tackling ability in the run game. Expect another Titans' run-heavy offensive game plan and a slow start from the Ravens so take Tennessee +10 as the bet. *Also recommend Titans +6 for a 1st half bet.*

Game: Seattle @ Green Bay (O/U 46.5)

Selection: Under 46.5

Score: Seattle 23 Green Bay 28

Result: L

Notes: Seattle travels to Green Bay to conclude the Divisional Playoff Round on Sunday night in what could be the best matchup of this weekend's four games. Seattle's troubles along the offensive line continue as replacements at LT, LG & C will face an underrated Packer pass rush lead by ferocious Za'Darius Smith across the line of scrimmage. The Packers offense hasn't been nearly as dependent on QB Rodgers as in years past as RB Jones has led a resurgent GB rushing attack. Seattle's defense finally played at full strength last week and is far more athletic at the line of scrimmage and should be able to contain the GB run game and apply pressure on Rodgers between the tackles. Both teams sport top-shelf playmakers at QB but the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field will be just that on Sunday as a weekend snow storm will drop windchill temperatures into the low teens bringing with it heavy air, cold hands, and slow feet so bet UNDER 46.5 as the play.


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